Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.351460 0.401565 0.455177 0.516681 0.585158 0.658922 0.744258
2025-11-23 0.263640 0.330538 0.407746 0.502900 0.616437 0.746961 0.907724
2025-11-30 0.210306 0.287437 0.382847 0.508228 0.667181 0.860394 1.111235
2025-12-07 0.165479 0.245786 0.351901 0.499935 0.698277 0.951706 1.296333
2025-12-14 0.134980 0.216769 0.331652 0.500861 0.739034 1.056969 1.506985
2025-12-21 0.109153 0.189150 0.308323 0.493089 0.765348 1.143629 1.698775
2025-12-28 0.095450 0.176974 0.304861 0.512117 0.829647 1.285899 1.975866
2026-01-04 0.083819 0.165792 0.300823 0.528878 0.891012 1.427482 2.260954
2026-01-11 0.071853 0.151685 0.289744 0.532555 0.931733 1.540632 2.511193
2026-01-18 0.061491 0.138407 0.277878 0.532906 0.966196 1.645527 2.754497
2026-01-25 0.052524 0.125985 0.265524 0.530461 0.994973 1.742426 2.990234
2026-02-01 0.045080 0.115103 0.254260 0.528191 1.023024 1.838958 3.229852
2026-02-08 0.038762 0.105499 0.244321 0.527621 1.054678 1.944758 3.493139
2026-02-15 0.032822 0.095464 0.232027 0.521086 1.074981 2.032863 3.732894
2026-02-22 0.029201 0.090127 0.228573 0.531126 1.125875 2.175568 4.070595
2026-03-01 0.024864 0.081983 0.217836 0.525199 1.146240 2.266423 4.325634
2026-03-08 0.021747 0.076294 0.211644 0.527771 1.182666 2.387283 4.637904
2026-03-15 0.018495 0.069383 0.201494 0.520589 1.199104 2.472786 4.892553
2026-03-22 0.017162 0.067805 0.203907 0.541100 1.272268 2.665727 5.346062
2026-03-29 0.015822 0.065878 0.205152 0.559024 1.341311 2.854502 5.800583
2026-04-05 0.014014 0.061948 0.200634 0.563093 1.381691 2.991242 6.166807
2026-04-12 0.012295 0.057818 0.194911 0.563588 1.414321 3.114620 6.513781
2026-04-19 0.010695 0.053623 0.188300 0.561099 1.440103 3.225769 6.842650